Trade Setup for Thursday: Top 15 things to know before Opening Bell
Shabbir Kayyumi of Narnolia Financial Advisors said a close below the important support of 11,870 will change the current bullish sentiment.
The market snapped a three-day winning streak to close sharply lower on June 12 as traders turned cautious ahead of the factory and retail inflation data expected later in the day.
The BSE Sensex fell 193.65 points to 39,756.81, dragged by banking & financials and auto stocks. The Nifty 50 managed to close a tad above 11,900 after hitting an intraday low of 11,866.35, down 59.40 points to 11,906.20. The index formed a bearish candle resembling a Bearish Belt Hold pattern on the daily charts.
"Although the index formed a bearish body momentum candlestick pattern, the market witnessed intensified buying in the last trading hour, pushing it higher above 5 SMA placed around 11,901 levels which indicates positive short term trend is intact," Shabbir Kayyumi, Head of Technical Research, Narnolia Financial Advisors told Moneycontrol.
He said any decisive move above 11,960 will push the index higher towards crucial resistance zone of 12,000-12,040 levels.
On the contrary side, a close below the important support of 11,870 will change the current bullish sentiment, he added.
The market breadth was negative throughout the day - About 1,468 shares declined against 1,022 advancing shares on the BSE. The Nifty Midcap index lost 0.8 percent and Smallcap index fell 0.24 percent.
Among sectors, Nifty Bank and Auto were down a percent each while Realty fell 2 percent.
We have collated 15 data points to help you spot profitable trades:
The key support and resistance level for Nifty
Nifty closed at 11,906.20 on June 12. According to the Pivot charts, the key support level is placed at 11,860.83, followed by 11,815.47. If the index starts moving upward, key resistance levels to watch out are 11,957.03 and 12,007.87.
Nifty Bank
The Nifty Bank index closed at 30,965.70, down 299.75 points on June 12. The important Pivot level, which will act as crucial support for the index, is placed at 30,843.97, followed by 30,722.23. On the upside, key resistance levels are placed at 31,154.87, followed by 31,344.04.
Call options data
Maximum Call open interest (OI) of 22.30 lakh contracts was seen at the 12,500 strike price. This will act as a crucial resistance level for the June series.
This is followed by 12,000 strike price, which now holds 21.26 lakh contracts in open interest, and 12,200, which has accumulated 15.54 lakh contracts in open interest.
Significant Call writing was seen at 12,000 strikes which added 2.95 lakh contracts, followed by 12,100 strikes that added 1.97 lakh contracts and 11,900 strikes which added 1.69 lakh contracts.
Call unwinding was seen at the strike price of 12,500, which shed 3 lakh contracts, followed by 12,300 strikes which shed 1.21 lakh contracts.
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